ASSC Studios Official Election Center

Current Predictions:

Candidates: Obama, Romney, Palin, Mesplay, Root, Weil, Dobbs

Potential Candidates:

DEMS: 8.94%
Barack Obama (Incumbent) 42.46%
Hillary Clinton 0.57%

GOP: 1.37%
Haley Barbour 0.23%
Scott Brown 0.51%
Jeb Bush 1.26%
Eric Cantor 0.18%
Dick Cheney 0.29%
Charlie Crist 0.21%
Chris Christie 0.00%
Mitch Daniels 0.36%
Jim DeMint 0.00%
Louis Fortuno 0.00%
Newt Gingrich 6.81%
Rudy Giuliani 1.05%
Mike Huckabee 12.79%
Jon Huntsman 0.01%
Bobby Jindal 0.96%
Gary E. Johnson 0.47%
Jon Kyl 0.00%
John McCain 0.07%
George Pataki 0.00%
Ron Paul 1.74%
Tim Pawlenty 0.81%
Mike Pence 0.24%
Rick Perry 0.00%
David Petraeus 0.53%
Mitt Romney 14.58%
Marco Rubio 0.00%
Paul Ryan 0.00%
Mark Sanford 0.24%
Rick Santorum 0.26%
John Thune 0.32%

TEA: 3.62%

Sarah Palin 14.47%

GREEN: 0.02%
Kent Mesplay 0.07%

LIBER: 0.02%
Wayen Allyn Root 0.07%

RFRM: 0.02%
Ted Weil 0.07%

IDPNT: 0.08%
Michael Bloomberg 0.00%
Lou Dobbs 0.39%
Raplh Nader 0.07%
Jesse Ventura 0.07%

June 1, 2010

Ok so because of the constant random media panics over what state is going to who in 2 and a half years and because apparently various states keep having random special elections I am going to have to start updating the election center once a quarter until the primaries in 2012 which after that I will update once a month.  But until then let's see what we have this time around.  As you can see I listed out the most likely potential candidates (banking on an Obama vs Romney election).  You may have noticed that Sarah Palin is now separate from the GOP, this is due to many polls now listing her as the Tea Party's candidate for 2012.  I guess they made some sort of impact in PA in whatever races they had there recently and now everyone is considering the Tea Party a real political party which is good for Obama.  As it stands now with a third party getting enough votes Palin will actually cost the GOP 84 votes in the election.  This is why hell will freeze over in November 2012 with Texas going blue, it'd literally be split over Romney and Palin that there wouldn't be enough votes for Texas to go either Tea or GOP meaning the Democrats win Texas the first time since 1976.  However if the Tea Party is not shown to be as strong as everyone thinks they are (which I believe is the case) then Obama loses.  All the states that would have gone to Palin now go to Romney and Texas is no longer split giving the GOP the edge.  The problem with this scenario is that Obama would have one the popular vote and if that's the case I'm dusting off my pass port and driving to Canada as fast as I can.  I can not imagine what type of problem will arrive if Obama wins the popular vote but not the electoral.  So yeah go Tea Party.  As usual I colored in the states the media began to freak out over due to various reasons these states are: Massachusetts, Nevada, New Jersey, Hawaii, Virginia.  I doubt Massachusetts, New Jersey, and Hawaii would go red but the media has been freaking out about these states due to recent elections.  I still do not think that Michigan will go to Obama after what happened with the Auto Companies.  Same thing with Florida as they were hit rather hard in the recession and there's been a lot of resentment towards the Obama administration because of this.  Though I said the last time I updated that New England votes the same I changed the rest of New England to blue due to it only being a Media Frenzy over MA in 2012 and how it's silly putting New England states as red I mean seriously the only places more liberal than New England are New York and California.  As I close I would just like to note that Texas is not the only state that is split so much between the Tea and Republican Parties that it causes it to go blue there are several others however since they are swing states, states that a candidate narrowly one in the previous election, states split in Congress between Republican and Democratic Senators and Congressmen, or states that have been switching back and forth here on ASSC between red and blue.  Due to all of these reasons I give these states the possibility of actually swinging blue in 2012 regardless if the Tea Party actually runs a candidate or not.  One last note, I have listed Romney as the most likely potential candidate for the Republicans in 2012 if that is the case Utah will go to Romney hands down however since the primaries are two years away and there is no actual GOP candidate and due to not only the Tea Party GOP split but the split over which Republican candidate to vote for I will continue to keep Utah Blue for the time being.  The election center will be updated again around September 1, 2010,

February 3, 2010

*facepalm* You know I was really hoping that I could go all the way until the elections in November without updating the election center.  But no.  First off we had the recent special senate elections in MA where a Republican took former Senator Kennedy's seat putting the media into another tizzy saying how Obama is going to lose because of this.  Now I really, really, reallyxinfinite doubt Obama will lose New England but because there's this big fuse about the junior senator from MA I'm giving all the New England states (except Vermont because there's no way they'll ever vote Republican) to the GOP, because let's face it we all vote the same up here.  Also there's the big stink about Nevada now.  See I waited for two political frenzies for the Dems to occur before updating.  Apparently Obama keeps telling people in his speeches to not go and blow their money in Vegas.  Now you would think people would say to themselves "Gee that's a great idea" but no instead the people of Nevada took it as "Obama hates Nevada."  Really people?  Really?  Are you that stupid?  We're in a recession if you haven't noticed it's probably not a good idea to go gamble away your money at the moment.  I'm from Connecticut and if the President said that people shouldn't go to Ledyard or Uncasville to gamble away their life savings I'd take it as good advice not as the President saying he hated Connecticut.  Now I'm sure the Natives that run the casinos would probably get quite upset if the president said that but I'm sure they have enough money to buy the country back by now anyway.  Actually that sounds like an idea, sell the country back to its Native Inhabitants.  Probably would end the recession much quicker.

Beginning of 2010

All of the stats have been updated.  Though it's not looking too god for the Democrats it's looking worse for the Republicans.  President Obama still has the highest chance out of all the potential candidates in two and a half years.  And yes that Lou Dobbs that's been independent candidates is indeed that Lou Dobbs.  Now I'm kind of surprised that my current results show the Democrats taking Utah, West Virginia, and Arkansas but it is what is at the moment and I'm sure it's subject to change.  I would say Arizona and Mississippi are defiantly up in the air this election.  Arizona was a swing state in the last election and kept flipping between McCain (who is from Arizona) and Obama.  That's pretty bad that McCain almost lost his home state.  So I wouldn't be surprised if we see Arizona go blue in 2012.  Mississippi I don't know.  If Obama runs for reelection (which I'm sure he will) there would probably be an even higher turn out of African Americans (hopefully) which could in fact swing Mississippi over to blue however because they went to the GOP in 2008 it's hard to say.  Now my statistics do show the Democrats taking New Jersey, Virgina, and Michigan at the moment but as I said after the Gubernatorial Elections in NJ and VA people started freaking out that because these two states elected Republican governors they would swing right instead of left in 2012.  Now as someone from a state with a GOP governor let me tell you that has really no bearing who we vote for as CT went blue in 2008, 2004, 2000...you get the picture.  But still the media freaks out I'm going make NJ and VA red for now at least until more polling come in as November 2012 comes closer.  Now on to Michigan.  Though everything I've seen on this state indicates they will swing to the left in 2012 I just can not see this happening especially since how hard Detroit was hit after the big 3 car companies collapsed or almost collapsible whatever and how bad the state as a whole has been hit in the economic crisis (probably why Florida is red again).  One final note is that Delaware is red.  This has got to show everyone how much can change in only two months.  The election center probably won't be updated again until November after the Congressional elections so see you all in 10 months where I'm sure there will be even bigger changes.  Until then.

2009 Local & Gubernatorial Elections:

(November 5, 2009 2012 Election prediction)

It's doubtful that any of the staff of ASSC Studios has the ambition to figure out the final results of the roughly 25,000 towns in the nation many of them which held local elections in 2009.  However there were a few gubernatorial races and from what we saw both New Jersey and Virginia have voted for a new GOP governor.  Since the media is saying that this is a “wake up call for the Democrats” we just went ahead and colored New Jersey and Virginia red. The GOP apparently has some complicated evil scheme to win Ohio which probably isn’t even legal but it’s confusing so for arguments sake let’s just say Ohio goes red in 2012. There’s no way Obama can win Michigan in 2012. They were hit pretty badly by the economic collapse and unless the American car companies begin making super affordable super fuel efficient cars (which they never will) the plants are going to stay closed and the rust belt will continue to rust away. Florida was also hit rather hard from the economic collapse and it’s gotten to the point where now they’re blaming their governor for supporting Obama’s plan who in response is denying he ever agreed with Obama…ever. 28 electoral votes for the GOP. The rest of this map is just how the states went in 2008 only some of the numbers have changed as the census is next year the prediction is the numbers you see above. Since the presidential election was only a year ago from when this article was written we can only assume this is how it will play out in 2012, three years from now. As you can see at the moment we predict a tie. Oh boy riots and looting. It’s been awhile since we’ve had a good riot in this country, and no we’re not counting and George W. Bush administration protest or any teabaggers er, uh, “Tea Party” members rather. But from the statistics provided when this article was written (November 5, 2009) Obama has a 46.31% chance of winning while the Republican with the most percentage of winning is Sarah Palin with only 17.62%. As a whole the GOP statistically has a 3.78% chance of winning but this number is sure to go up once everyone officially decides to run which will probably be around the mid-term elections of 2010. However it should be noted that the Dems only have a 23.78% chance of winning but that’s only because of the 1.25% chance Hillary Clinton will win (yes there are still people out there who believe she’s going to run and win in 2012). But please note that at the moment though still a small percentage the Democrats are still ahead by 20% of the Republicans. So from this data we’ve collected thus far you can predict who we think that Congress (or another illegal vote from the Supreme Court) will decide in favor of in 2012 if rioting…er…a tie is to occur.