Election Center

ASSC Studios Official Election Center 

May 1, 2017

It's been awhile since the Ameripocalypse now that we are done licking our wounds...well not really we still are.  Well half of us are...well technically 2/3 of us are.  Yeah Trump's approval ratings are in the toilet.  Protests every other day, scandals and flubs every day, trampling the Constitution, bill of rights, freedom, and liberty thanks a lot swings states and right wing radicals.  Anywho.....so I was wrong the last time by a few states because blah blah fake news blah blah blah.  Actually because we do our system electorally he really only won by a few thousand and I was predicting a win for him though electorally showed otherwise.  PLUS most polling is done where there are more people, more people live in cities, cities are usually more Democratic so in the sense the polls were slightly biases so hopefully more polling will be done in the exurbs in 2020.  With that said I have the above.  As you can see there is not much data in so it's mostly biased based on historical data which is why the south is blue and the north is red.  Plus the democrats are more split than with just Trump on the GOP.  Here are some predictions:

DEMOCRATS: 

41.54% chance of winning Congress in 2018
43.81% chance of winning White House in 2020

Candidate Primary Chance Election Chance
Biden N/A 38.5%
Booker 17% 15.71%
Castro 4% N/A
Clinton N/A 12.5%
Cuban N/A 40%
Cuomo 8% 3%
Gillibrand 3% N/A
Franken N/A 24.5%
Harris 3% N/A
Klobuchar 11% N/A
O'Malley 18% N/A
Sanders 4% 29.67%
Schultz 1% N/A
Warren N/A 24.63%
Winfrey N/A 47%

 

REPUBLICANS:

57.34% Chance of winning Congress in 2018
47.63% Chance of winning White House in 2020

Candidate Primary Chance Election Chance
Trump N/A 41.5%

 

INDEPENDENTS:

0.87% chance of winning Congress in 2018
7.72% chance of winning White House in 2200

LIBERTARIANS:

0.49% chance of winning White House in 2020

GREEN:

0.87% chance of winning White House in 2020

CONSTITUTION

0.16% chance of winning White House in 2020

So there you have it we're currently still boned.  The Democrats currently aren't listening to their own reports of why and how they lost and are thinking it was a turn out issue when really it was more of a turn over from the working class.  Oops.  So it's a pretty good chance that they still won't win Congress in 2018, hopefully they'll finally get their act together in 2020 so the above doesn't happen.  In the mean time if we ignore the Democrats with N/As the most probable chance is Booker v Trump.  Let's just hope there's a country in 2020.

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