Category: Election Center
Last Updated: Monday, 05 September 2016 23:20
Published: Thursday, 06 September 2012 00:53
Goode (Constitution) 0% chance of winning projected to win 7% of popular vote [in VA]
Johnson (Libertarian) 4.33% chance of winning projected to win 1.575% of popular vote
Obama (Democrat) 48.244% chance of winning projected winner with 49.674% of popular vote
Romney (Republican) 33.494% chance of winning projected to win 38.118% of popular vote
Stein (Green) 0% chance of winning projected to win 3% of popular vote [in MA]
Terry (Independent) 24% chance of winning projected to win 9.365% of popular vote
August 25, 2012 (based on 8/20/12 results)
Now that I have time and the primaries are over with in all states (and seeing as the RNC starts Monday) here is the current results. Unfortunately Obama has lost North Carolina but luckily he is still hanging on. I will attempt to update for the conventions, cleaning up this page and moving everything currently here to it's own Primaries Section as I had done previous with "Prior to Primaries." Above is the updated candidates, well at least the major ones. I figured it didn't make much sense to put it everyone (about 30 people) who was running seeing as most did not have a chance. So anyone who had above 0% I put above. Unless otherwise stated the mentioned popular vote is national so yeah go Obama! Of course some of you may be wondering who Terry is and why he has such a high chance of winning being an Indpendent. You see seeing as the South mysteriously hates Obama for whatever reason a lot of Souther Democratic voters voted for Terry during the Democratic primaries so he has a chance to steal souther votes from Obama. Let's just hope that Mitt Romney loses.
You may be wondering where all the candidates for all of the parties went, the short answer is that due to the third parties it needs to be updated. I also realized I have forgotten some pieces of data for a final tally of popular votes. As for my margin of error I am ignoring that for now because of the GOP primaries being down to 2 candidates it has just become unreasonable. If it wasn't for Rick Santorum's gain for those few months then sudden drop out last month it probably would be much lower. As we can see from the recent electoral maps Obama continues to lose southern states, now with the not surprsing loss of South Carolina. As long as he can hang on Virgina, the northen and western states, and midwest and rust belt he should be fine. Romney's speculative VP candidates are rumored to be from mainly battleground states but several that are from red states. Let's hope he picks from the candidates from the red states.
May 7, 2012 (May 16, 2012)
There were some minor issues with this page (maps were not displaying) which took awhile to fix. The map above is accurate the percentages are still from March 30. Due to Rick Santorum's drop out margin of error has skyrocketed again thanks to Santorum to a staggering +/-13.1%! Uhg! Hopefully with Santorum gone this will stop happening. Go figure he drops out as soon as my numbers started to level out after he jumped in popularity. Whatever, Obama is still in the lead and is currently still the front runner. Mitt Romney is just bad for America's middle class (as well as youth, women, LBGT community, poor, non-whites, non-Christians, and those whose first language was not English).
March 30, 2012
Still an Obama victory. Good for America bad for Republicans. Once again thanks to the Santorum surge my margin of error is a painful +/-11.6%. Hopefully with the following primaries and what not on April 4 this will go down. (Well probably not by too much as I have no polling data for DC so therefore everything is set to 0% that'll destroy my margin of error for sure). So good people of DC, Maryland, and Wisconsin please do not vote for Rick Santorum (not that you really want to anyway usually swinging blue and all but unfortunately we do need a Republican candidate).
Maryland Predictions: Gingirch 12%, Paul 7%, Romney 49%, Santorum 33.5% (Ok Maryland a third of you can vote for Santorum)
Wisconsin Predictions: Gingrich 19.19%, Paul, 13.25%, Romney 29.84%, Santorum 30.83% (Ok Wisconsin you can vote for Santorum)
Please note the above was NOT an endorsement for Rick Santorum we here at ASSC Studios support Barack Obama. Rick Satnroum is a douche.
March 21, 2012
Not much has changed percentage wise except my margin of error which is now at +/-9.24. I way underestimated Romney's win and per usual Rick Santorum's final numbers. With new data in Obama loses a few more states. By next update I'm guessing we'll see no more winning in South Carolina and probably Iowa too. His current bare minimum is 272 (talk about your close eletions). My predictions for Louisiana are Gingrich 18.26%, Paul 6.27%, Romney 16%, and Santorum 6.63% (I have a feeling that my margin of error is going to skyrocket after that). The 24th is the same day the Missouri Caucus ends which I predict will be Gingrich 26.82%, Paul 18,6%, Romney 29.37%, and Santorum 34.53%. If Gingrich wins Louisiana I see him staying in until April 24 when Connecticut, New York, Pennsylvania, and Rhode Island vote if he loses he may stay in through Wisconsin on April 4th but he will be gone by the 24th. Meanwhile Sanotrum and Romney will continue to tear the GOP apart which is fine. A fractured Republican Party by their convention in August means there will be no GOP win in November. If Gingrich does lose Louisiana I see Santorum winning it then on the 24 he will win Pennsylvania but Romney will win the other three (though I would not be surprised if Santorum wins New York). But then again we will see once I post my updated predictions around those dates. I will most likely update on March 30 for the Wisconsin race.
March 19, 2012
Current margin of error is currently +/-8.84%. Nothing has changed electorial wise which is a good thing because Obama is still winning. For that apparent "major" primiary in Illinois tomorrow Gingrich 15.64%, Paul 8.09%, Romney 30.4%, Santorum 21.58%. I am planning to update Wednesday for the few pirmaries and caucuses on Saturday.
March 5, 2012
Not going to update the candidates just a quick update. As you see the map remained the same from last time. I'm thinking at least South Carolina will go to the GOP in November. The good news is he can still lose Florida, North Carolina, Virgina, Misssouri, Ohio, and Arizona. At least two of those states I don't think he will lose (which is good as I doubt he'll win Iowa). I think this is humorous beacause the GOP keep saying they need Ohio to win but even with Ohio they still lose. Anywho my predictions for super Tuesday *deep breath*
AK: Gingrich 16, Paul, 10, Romney 18, Santorum 0.26
GA: 37.52, 6.43, 22.58, 18.19
MA: 17.25, 13, 47.5, 16.25
OK: 23.45, 6.7, 18.73, 23.71
TN: 21.6, 9.11, 29.56, 31
VT: 7.5, 7.5, 27.5, 0
VA: 24.36, 17.64, 38.09, 19.1
AL: 43, 4.25, 15.33, 1
MS: 35, 13, 26.2, 1
MO: 26.82, 18.6, 28.28, 32.17
IL: 17.63, 6.2, 21.52, 1.23
LA: 18, 5.33, 15.17, 0.35
Yes I realize that there was some issues with the ballots in Virgina but if all 4 candidates were on the ballot this is what I'm guessing it would have been at. So that and the Santorum predictions should screw over my margin of error quite a but which is now only +/-6.59%. Oh and I hope everyone realizes the order of Gingrich, Paul, Romney, Santorum continued through all of those states. These are only predictions for the GOP Primaries and Caucuses tomorrow not the Democratic ones.
February 28, 2012
I would just like to point out (probably again) that the people want the Republican Party to win however they do not want any of the Republican candidates. The good news is that means victory for Obama that bad news is that may mean GOP victory in Congress however with Congressional approval ratings at 9% and the majority of the House being Republicans let's hope this means the voters will vote their GOP incumbents out. The trend also continues of as we approach the election less states become blue. However the only way the GOP will win it is if they decide to go more towards the center of the political spectrum and try not to get support from only from their baseline voters (White English Speaking Upper Class Heterosexual Christian Males). Ok now for my predictions for Arizona and Michigan tomorrow.
Arizona: Gingrich 22.77%, Paul 12.78%, Romney 38.42%, Santorum 46.25%
Michigan: Gingrich 16.48%, Paul 11.71%, Romney 34%, Sanotrum 30.98%
Due to Santorum coming out of nowhere and my end of 2011 predictions showing him usually below 5th place my margin of error has skyrocketed +/-13.31% after the Maine, Colorado, Minnesota, and Missouri Primaries/Caucuses. Hopefully due to his recent gain in popularity my margin of error will shrink back down to below 10%, though below 5% would be opitmal.
February 7, 2012
New electoral map posted I will update the rest tomorrow along with my margin off error and we will see how I faired with the Colorado and Minnesota Primaries (and I guess the Missouri Cacucus too).
January 19, 2012
For now ignore the numbers I will update them tomorrow. I am just quickly posting the results prior to the SC primary before I go to bed. As you see with Perry and Huntsman gone the GOP get some more states. My margin of error is no +/- 7.29%. For New Hampshire I predicted Romney would get 39.01% he got 39.3% (that's damn good if I do say so myself), predicted Paul would get 13.92% he got 22.9% (could be way better), and lastly Huntsman I predicted would 13.42% when he got 16.9% (not too bad). Like I said I will update the new results, candidates, and add more to this entry tomorrow. In the meand time go write your Senators and House Representative to say no to SOPA and PIPA! JAN 20 UPDATE: Ok so here are the numbers. Please note the numbers given above is the likelhood of the person or party winning the election. What's odd is that at the moment the GOP has a most likely chance of winnning but Obama is the most likely person to win. This actually compares to other polls which show that people want Obama gone but they would rather him than any of the GOP candidates. So it looks like it's Obama because the GOP has horrible candidates (it's sad when Ron Paul is your sanist candidate). And now my predictions for South Carolina: Romney 1st 31.08%, Gingrich 2nd 24.8%, Santorum 10.55%, Paul 10.52%, and Stephen Colbert with 8%. Now only if Colbert would start campaigns in other states...
January 10, 2012
Today is the New Hampshire primaries and I actually remembered to update my data before they ended. As you can see the GOP has lost some gorund. My guess is that this has something to do with SOPA and Enemy Expatriation Act (because let's face it, Lieberman is not a Democrat, he proved that in 2008 he's proving it again in 2012). I'm taking this that people are fed up with the GOP trying to take their rights (and internet) away from them. My predictions for the top three in New Hampshire tonight is as follows: Romney 1st 39.01%, Gingrich 2nd 15.43%, Paul 3rd 13.92% still with a huge margin of error +/- 10.413%. I'm hoping this will go down for the South Carolina primaries next week.
January 4, 2012
Yeah I totally flaked with the Iowa Primaries. Totally forgot that Iowa is first now. Here I was thinking I had time becasue New Hampshire is January 10. Oops. Well these are the results from December. As we know Bachmann is out (thank her God). I would just like to note that my numbers gave Romney 22% of the Iowa vote and he got 24.55%, Santorum had 4.45% and got 24.54%, and Paul had 12.76% and got 21.45%. I guess I was close with Romney at least. From thise I can assume that my numbers are accurate within +/- 10.413% which is a HUGE margin of error. I'm really hoping I can close this gap by November.
Category: Election Center
Last Updated: Monday, 05 September 2016 23:20
Published: Tuesday, 19 October 2010 01:57
Can't make it the Rally to Restore Sanity or the March to Keep Fear Alive?* Well then ASSC Studios has you covered! We are hosting a live (once we find a new live streaming video provider) video game-a-thon! How will this work exactly? Well I have no clue but it will defiantly involve playing video games. Below is what ASSC Studios has fudged to create such an event. So get your thumbs, joysticks, controllers, keyboards, mobile devices, and motion sensor devices ready so you can pretend you're being a part of what Stephen Colbert* says will be the biggest bowel movement of our generation.
We must admit and we must know that both of these great comedians, Jon Stewart* and Stephen Colbert*, (who the ASSC Studios staff, cast, and crew all have great respect and admiration for) are having this rally/march (let's face it it's the same thing, Colbert is just staying in character) to piss off and mach the Tea Party (and probably the Republicans too but the GOP seems to be weaning out their teabaggers so we'll leave them out of this for now). We know you want to go. We know you want to show support for these comic greats. We know you want to go to make fun of the Tea Party. We know you actually realize that the people in power are not the people that brought us into this mess but instead are being fought and stopped every step of the way to fix the mess by those who caused it. We also know that you have no money and can't make it to DC (and if you are going to DC then congrats, enjoy yourself) and you still want to participate in something on that day you just don't know what.
Well all of you out there who can't make it to DC that want to you're in luck because the Staff of ASSC Studios have come up with a solution, have our own event on the same time starting at the same time as the Sanity and Fear rally and march. More information will be provided below but if you do decided on participating in our event that Stewart* and Colbert* have no idea we're doing in honor of them (we swear) we encourage you to have your own online events and if you wish you can submit where your live event will be located here and we will reference it or link to or something once we figure our who our new live streaming video provider will be since we will no longer be dealing with Stickam. Also feel free to live chat with us and/or send us pictures of your event before/during/after our event.
1) When is the Sanity & Fear Video Game-a-thon?
ASSC Studios will begin our video game-a-thon starting at noon on October 30, 2010 (coinciding with the start of the DC march/rally*). It will end around 11:30 pm that same day. If you wish to watch come any time from noon to 11:30pm, we suggest after 3pm as we encourage you all to watch the live broadcasts of what Jon Stewart* and Stephen Colbert* are doing in DC. We suggest you start your own game-a-thon around the same time and we ask if you do have your own please send us the link to your live feed so we can link it here and mention it during ours, you don't have to but we figured we'd ask.
2) Where will the Sanity & Fear Video Game-a-thon be hosted?
justin.tv/asscstudios not our old live hosting site of stickam.com due to technical difficulties we were experiencing during our failed attempt of an Early Early Late Show on October 9, 2010. The broadcast will also be seen on ASSC Studios' main page hosted by justin.tv/asscstudios
3) Will I need to make an account to view the live feed?
No, you don't have to make an account if you don't want to.
4) Can I make donations to ASSC Studios to help you guys out?
We don't want any but if you really want to throw your money at us we're not going to stop you. Your best bet if you wish to support ASSC Studios with monetary funds is to scroll to the top of this page and on the left column under where it says "Main Menu" you'll see a link that says stores. You will be brought to another page with 4 buttons that will bring you to one of our 4 different ASSC Studios stores.
5) Where can I get more information on this event?
Well the front page of the site obviously but you can also follow us on twitter, check out the ASSC Studios Facebook page, or join the Sanity & Fear Facebook event. But your best bet is probably this page on the site (or the front page) so bookmark it.
6) How can I be part of this event?
Easy, play video games (see below). We would also like to encourage you to provide us with the links to your own live feed for your video game-a-thon or depending on what service we get for our live feed to live chat with us. Either way we will make mention of you. Also feel free to send in your pictures of your event during our event. We will show off the appropriate ones and make reference to the inappropriate ones.
7) How can I spread the word of the video game-a-thon?
Well I'm sure we will make another store before the 23 so you can get Sanity & Fear Video Game-a-thon merchandise. Also we made a downloadable poster (top of this page) for you to post where ever your wish. Suggestion if you post it please make it visabel for other to see it but please make sure it's in a safe location and not a distraction hazard.
8) How can I get timely updates about the video game-a-thon?
Our twitter feed. twitter.com/asscstudios it's updated almost daily and I'm sure as we do more for this event and as it draws closer we will update it even more.
9) Hey it's the day before Halloween so can I wear a costume on my own live event?
Of course you can! Obviously it makes the most sense if you dress as a video game character but we won't complain otherwise. If you are doing this please, please, please send us your live feed, live chat us, and/or send us pics. We WILL defiantly post them, link them, and make mention of them.
10) Can I make signs to either tell people about this event or for the event itself?
11) Can I use the sign/graphics provided by ASSC Studios to publicize this event?
Yes and no. Please only use any graphics or pre-made signs we have posted here on this page only.
12) Will there be any more graphics added by ASSC Studios for potential signs?
Everything that's been posted has been if you don't like what you see here go to the facebook event page: http://www.facebook.com/#!/event.php?eid=168306333181295
13) Will this event be publicized to the media?
Though Stewart* and Colbert* seem like great guys and seem like the type of people who wouldn't care that some unknown website is supporting them in their own crazy way it's doubtful that large corporation like Viacom* would be as understanding so no we are not going to publicize this much past our website, twitter, and facebook. Plus here at ASSC Studios we feel that the media are the reasons why sanity needs to be restored to our nation and why sanity needs to be restored and why we are so fearful to begin with.
14) How many spots will be open to live chat with ASSC Studios during this event?
We have no idea as we are still trying to figure out how justin.tv does everything so I guess we'll find out on the 30th.
15) How will I be able to send my live feed, pictures, video, links, etc., to ASSC Studios?
16) What video games will ASSC Studios be playing/what should I play?
Below is a list of games we think make sense to be played. This list is just a suggestion just remember this video game-a-thon is to promote sanity and to make people aware of fear. We have also taken random quotes from the comedians (such as Stephen Colbert* once making refernces to hedgehog being a threat to America) into account for games to be played.
…of War (series)
Act of War (series)
Aero Fighters (series)
Age of Empires (series)
Akuji the Heartless
Beyond Good & Evil (series)
Blade video games
Call of Duty (series)
Call of Juarez (series)
Cat Girl Alliance
Chili con Carnage
Command and Conquer (series)
Conker's Bad Fur Day
Dead or Alive (series)
Devil May Cry (series)
Discipline: The Record of a Crusade
Dragonball/Z video games
Duke Nukem (series)
Final Fantasy VII (series)
Final Fantasy X (series)
Ghost Recon (series)
Grand Theft Auto (series)
Guilty Gear (series)
Hearts of Iron (series)
International Superstar Soccer (series)
James Cameron's Avatar: The Game
Kingpin: Life of Crime
Left 4 Dead (series)
Left Behind: Eternal Forces
Marc Ecko’s Getting Up
Mario Party (series)
Marvel vs Capcom (series)
Mass Effect (series)
Medal of Honor
Men of Valor
Metal Gear Solid (series)
Michael Jackson’s Moonwalker
Michael Jordan: Chaos in the Windy City
Microsoft Flight Simulator (series)
Modern Warfare (series)
Mortal Combat (series)
NBA Jam (series)
NFL Blitz (series)
NiBiRu: The Age of Secrets
Perfect Dark (series)
Pick Me, Honey!
Prince of Persia (series)
Punch Out (series)
Rainbow Six (series)
Ratchet & Clank (series)
Red Orchestra (series)
Resident Evil (series)
Rule of Rose
Samba de Amigo (series)
Saw video games
Scrabble video games
Shadow Ops: Red Mercury
Six Days in Fallujah
Sonic the Hedgehog (series)
Soul Calibur (series)
South Park Video Games
Spawn video games
Speedy Gonzales video games
Splinter Cell (series)
Star Trek video games
Star Wars video games
State of Emergency
Street Fighter (series)
Super Monaco GP
Super Smash Bros. (series)
Super Spike V’Ball
Team Fortress (series)
The Elder Scrolls (series)
The Guy Game
The King of Fighters (series)
The Legend of Zelda (series)
The Red Star
The Sims (series)
The Smurfs video games
Tomb Raider (series)
Tombs & Treasure
World of Warcraft (series)
You Are Empty
20) Can I sell merchandise to promote my video game-a-thon?
Sure. If you want you can send us the links so you have a better chance of people buying it. We suggest you either use Cafepress or Zazzle to make merchandise quick or if you're really creative make your own stuff on home and sell it on ebay. Just make sure what you sell doesn't violate any copyright laws. On that note Cafepress has a very strange and hard ass approach to copyright laws so anything tat may look remote similar to a copyrighted item or makes the slightest reference to one they'll probably take it down.
21) How do I view ASSC Studios's live event?
Wither come right to www.asscstudios.net or go to justin.tv/asscstudios
22) What if I'm traveling to DC for the real deal that day?
Then we envy you and encourage you to have fun in DC and to ignore us. If you're bored after 3pm just come to ASSC Studios as the event is going on until 11:30pm.
23) What if I won't be near an internet connection?
The site should be good for handheld devices and it is assumed that most live streaming video providers are handheld friendly as well if you really want to view the ASSC Studios Video Game-a-thon
24) What if my handheld has no [internet] service?
Just play video games all day then.
25) What if I don't have access to video games that day?
Go outside or read a book or something.
26) What if I don't have any access to technology at all?
Then how the hell are you reading this?
27) Will this event be recorded for future viewings?
The short answer no. The long answer: We realize that we do record and save the Early Early Late Show when one is made however this event will be 10 hours longer than the longest Early Early Late Show and we don't want to destroy our space quota. However, we will be recording the event so most likely at some point in the future we will cut the footage we have down to a 10 minute best of segment and post it to YouTube. Long time fans of the site will realize it takes us forever to do such things so we will not give an exact date and time of when said video will be released.
28) How can I get more information?
29) What if I'm Canadian?
Be glad that you don't live in the United States and carry about your life as you normally would on a Saturday.
*ASSC Studios is in no way affiliated with the Rally to Restore Sanity, the March to Keep Fear Alive, The Daily Show, The Colbert Report, Jon Stewart, Stephen Colbert, Comedy Central, MTV, Viacom, or any other related people, companies, shows, content, etc.